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Findings · Journal article, forthcoming

The “climate religion” and its critics

How do religious and quasi-religious words shape the Dutch climate debate on X? An analysis of nearly 700,000 Dutch-language posts from 2023, with Nico de Groot.

Author version · article forthcoming

Background: Extinction Rebellion blockade of the A12 motorway in The Hague, 28 January 2023. Photo: Hanno Lans, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons.

698,598
unique Dutch-language posts on climate, 2023
74,200
unique accounts
62.2%
of posts carry a negative tone
2.4×
more oppositional than activist hashtag uses
Method
Data
All public Dutch-language posts on X/Twitter containing klimaat (climate) in 2023, collected week by week with Zeeschuimer. After deduplication and removal of unrelated uses (“school climate”, “political climate”), 698,598 posts remain, generating about 500 million impressions.
Analysis
A theory-driven taxonomy of explicit religious, implicit religious and apocalyptic vocabulary, built on Bailey’s concept of implicit religion and on secular millenarianism, extended with LLM-assisted search for related terms. A regular-expression scan captured every compound word beginning with klimaat-.
Sentiment
Each post labelled negative, neutral or positive with the multilingual XLM-T transformer model. Validation on 500 hand-coded posts: inter-rater agreement κ = 0.73, model accuracy 70.4%, macro F1 70.2%. Sarcasm and irony remain the main source of error.
Project
Apocalypse and Climate Change: Impact of Religious Vocabularies in the Netherlands (NWO, 406.21.FHR.017), Tilburg School of Catholic Theology. Ethical approval: ERB-TST, January 2023.
Figure 1

Three moments of pressure

Number of climate posts per week, 2023. Hover over a week for posts and impressions.

0K5K10K15K20K25K30KHeat recordsA12 blockadesElection campaignwk 1wk 10wk 20wk 30wk 40wk 52Week 1 (from 2 Jan) · ≈ 7,600 posts · ≈ 5.8M impressionsWeek 2 (from 9 Jan) · ≈ 8,600 posts · ≈ 5.8M impressionsWeek 3 (from 16 Jan) · ≈ 7,600 posts · ≈ 5.2M impressionsWeek 4 (from 23 Jan) · ≈ 13,500 posts · ≈ 13.0M impressionsWeek 5 (from 30 Jan) · ≈ 9,500 posts · ≈ 7.6M impressionsWeek 6 (from 6 Feb) · ≈ 6,200 posts · ≈ 5.0M impressionsWeek 7 (from 13 Feb) · ≈ 8,900 posts · ≈ 7.3M impressionsWeek 8 (from 20 Feb) · ≈ 10,500 posts · ≈ 8.8M impressionsWeek 9 (from 27 Feb) · ≈ 9,100 posts · ≈ 8.0M impressionsWeek 10 (from 6 Mar) · ≈ 14,900 posts · ≈ 11.5M impressionsWeek 11 (from 13 Mar) · ≈ 15,400 posts · ≈ 9.2M impressionsWeek 12 (from 20 Mar) · ≈ 13,800 posts · ≈ 9.2M impressionsWeek 13 (from 27 Mar) · ≈ 11,500 posts · ≈ 9.1M impressionsWeek 14 (from 3 Apr) · ≈ 7,900 posts · ≈ 7.7M impressionsWeek 15 (from 10 Apr) · ≈ 8,900 posts · ≈ 7.4M impressionsWeek 16 (from 17 Apr) · ≈ 14,800 posts · ≈ 10.7M impressionsWeek 17 (from 24 Apr) · ≈ 17,200 posts · ≈ 12.7M impressionsWeek 18 (from 1 May) · ≈ 11,500 posts · ≈ 7.6M impressionsWeek 19 (from 8 May) · ≈ 12,500 posts · ≈ 7.1M impressionsWeek 20 (from 15 May) · ≈ 13,700 posts · ≈ 9.2M impressionsWeek 21 (from 22 May) · ≈ 17,300 posts · ≈ 13.6M impressionsWeek 22 (from 29 May) · ≈ 12,300 posts · ≈ 8.5M impressionsWeek 23 (from 5 Jun) · ≈ 11,300 posts · ≈ 7.0M impressionsWeek 24 (from 12 Jun) · ≈ 11,500 posts · ≈ 7.3M impressionsWeek 25 (from 19 Jun) · ≈ 13,000 posts · ≈ 8.3M impressionsWeek 26 (from 26 Jun) · ≈ 10,300 posts · ≈ 6.1M impressionsWeek 27 (from 3 Jul) · ≈ 17,300 posts · ≈ 12.4M impressionsWeek 28 (from 10 Jul) · ≈ 14,400 posts · ≈ 9.5M impressionsWeek 29 (from 17 Jul) · ≈ 24,100 posts · ≈ 17.8M impressionsWeek 30 (from 24 Jul) · ≈ 22,600 posts · ≈ 14.5M impressionsWeek 31 (from 31 Jul) · ≈ 16,500 posts · ≈ 12.0M impressionsWeek 32 (from 7 Aug) · ≈ 13,800 posts · ≈ 9.7M impressionsWeek 33 (from 14 Aug) · ≈ 14,200 posts · ≈ 7.5M impressionsWeek 34 (from 21 Aug) · ≈ 14,800 posts · ≈ 10.1M impressionsWeek 35 (from 28 Aug) · ≈ 15,100 posts · ≈ 11.5M impressionsWeek 36 (from 4 Sep) · ≈ 21,900 posts · ≈ 17.1M impressionsWeek 37 (from 11 Sep) · ≈ 21,200 posts · ≈ 16.2M impressionsWeek 38 (from 18 Sep) · ≈ 15,800 posts · ≈ 12.2M impressionsWeek 39 (from 25 Sep) · ≈ 11,700 posts · ≈ 12.5M impressionsWeek 40 (from 2 Oct) · ≈ 11,300 posts · ≈ 9.0M impressionsWeek 41 (from 9 Oct) · ≈ 8,800 posts · ≈ 6.5M impressionsWeek 42 (from 16 Oct) · ≈ 7,000 posts · ≈ 4.0M impressionsWeek 43 (from 23 Oct) · ≈ 8,600 posts · ≈ 5.9M impressionsWeek 44 (from 30 Oct) · ≈ 9,900 posts · ≈ 7.6M impressionsWeek 45 (from 6 Nov) · ≈ 22,100 posts · ≈ 22.4M impressionsWeek 46 (from 13 Nov) · ≈ 24,700 posts · ≈ 16.6M impressionsWeek 47 (from 20 Nov) · ≈ 22,300 posts · ≈ 14.0M impressionsWeek 48 (from 27 Nov) · ≈ 17,000 posts · ≈ 10.1M impressionsWeek 49 (from 4 Dec) · ≈ 12,100 posts · ≈ 5.5M impressionsWeek 50 (from 11 Dec) · ≈ 10,100 posts · ≈ 4.3M impressionsWeek 51 (from 18 Dec) · ≈ 7,700 posts · ≈ 3.2M impressionsWeek 52 (from 25 Dec) · ≈ 12,800 posts · ≈ 8.6M impressions

The debate peaks in week 29, when global temperature records were broken, in weeks 36–37, when Extinction Rebellion blocked the A12 motorway in The Hague, and in week 45, as climate became one of the three main issues in the national election campaign. Impressions rise and fall with the number of posts. Weekly values are rounded.

Figure 2

Three religious registers

Most frequent terms per register, number of posts. Dutch original in brackets.

Explicit

Church, scripture, doctrine

Religionreligie2,706
GodGod2,452
Popepaus1,215
Islamislam1,118
Holyheilige436
Creationschepping399
Biblebijbel295
Implicit

Secular words with binding moral weight

Sciencewetenschap5,940
Climate justiceklimaatrechtvaardigheid4,125
Sustainabilityduurzaamheid4,092
Biodiversitybiodiversiteit3,362
Justicerechtvaardigheid1,497
Human rightsmensenrechten1,038
Nature restorationnatuurherstel506
Apocalyptic

Crisis as rupture and ending

Fearangst6,547
Deathdood4,556
Droughtdroogte3,881
Disasterramp1,880
Doomondergang718
Floodzondvloed488
Extinctionuitsterven371

Religious meaning works on three levels at once. Explicit terms come from churches and scripture. Implicit terms such as science, climate justice and sustainability are secular words treated as binding moral imperatives. Apocalyptic terms frame climate change as rupture and ending. The implicit and apocalyptic registers are far larger than the explicit one.

Show data table
RegisterTermDutchPosts
ExplicitReligionreligie2,706
ExplicitGodGod2,452
ExplicitPopepaus1,215
ExplicitIslamislam1,118
ExplicitHolyheilige436
ExplicitCreationschepping399
ExplicitBiblebijbel295
ImplicitSciencewetenschap5,940
ImplicitClimate justiceklimaatrechtvaardigheid4,125
ImplicitSustainabilityduurzaamheid4,092
ImplicitBiodiversitybiodiversiteit3,362
ImplicitJusticerechtvaardigheid1,497
ImplicitHuman rightsmensenrechten1,038
ImplicitNature restorationnatuurherstel506
ApocalypticFearangst6,547
ApocalypticDeathdood4,556
ApocalypticDroughtdroogte3,881
ApocalypticDisasterramp1,880
ApocalypticDoomondergang718
ApocalypticFloodzondvloed488
ApocalypticExtinctionuitsterven371
Figure 3

A debate in a negative key

Share of negative, neutral and positive posts by register.

NegativeNeutralPositive
Explicit religiousExplicit religious · 60.1% negative60.1%Explicit religious · 30.9% neutral30.9%Explicit religious · 9.0% positive9.0%Implicit religiousImplicit religious · 55.4% negative55.4%Implicit religious · 31.3% neutral31.3%Implicit religious · 13.3% positive13.3%ApocalypticApocalyptic · 68.5% negative68.5%Apocalyptic · 25.8% neutral25.8%Apocalyptic · 5.7% positive5.7%All postsAll posts · 62.2% negative62.2%All posts · 29.2% neutral29.2%All posts · 8.6% positive8.6%

Six in ten posts are negative. Apocalyptic vocabulary is the most negative register (68.5%). The implicit register is the most positive (13.3%): justice, sustainability and biodiversity often appear in constructive, solution-oriented posts.

Show data table
RegisterNegativeNeutralPositive
Explicit religious60.1%30.9%9.0%
Implicit religious55.4%31.3%13.3%
Apocalyptic68.5%25.8%5.7%
All posts62.2%29.2%8.6%
Figure 4

The loudest label was #klimaathysterie

Most used hashtags in four clusters, same scale throughout. Dutch hashtags in English rendering (e.g. #klimaathysterie → #ClimateHysteria).

25,504oppositional hashtag uses
10,458activist hashtag uses
18,907 vs 19,046#ClimateHysteria vs #Climate, the most used hashtag
Neutral / informational · 34,359
#Climate#Climate · 19,046 uses19,046#ClimateChange#ClimateChange · 5,670 uses5,670#ClimateCrisis#ClimateCrisis · 4,256 uses4,256#Nitrogen#Nitrogen · 1,662 uses1,662#EnergyTransition#EnergyTransition · 1,430 uses1,430#CO2#CO2 · 1,209 uses1,209#Environment#Environment · 1,086 uses1,086
Oppositional / critical · 25,504
#ClimateHysteria#ClimateHysteria · 18,907 uses18,907#ClimateMadness#ClimateMadness · 3,318 uses3,318#ClimateHoax#ClimateHoax · 1,646 uses1,646#ClimateCrazies#ClimateCrazies · 992 uses992#ClimateScam#ClimateScam · 641 uses641
Activist / support · 10,458
#ClimateMarch#ClimateMarch · 2,009 uses2,009#ClimateActivists#ClimateActivists · 1,953 uses1,953#A12#A12 · 1,937 uses1,937#ExtinctionRebellion#ExtinctionRebellion · 1,884 uses1,884#ClimateJustice#ClimateJustice · 1,363 uses1,363#StopFossilSubsidies#StopFossilSubsidies · 1,312 uses1,312
Political · 8,527
#D66#D66 · 2,272 uses2,272#VoteAway#VoteAway · 1,558 uses1,558#Farmers#Farmers · 1,078 uses1,078#VVD#VVD · 932 uses932#Timmermans#Timmermans · 931 uses931#GroenLinks#GroenLinks · 916 uses916#FvD#FvD · 840 uses840

The oppositional cluster consists entirely of dismissive labels, none of which engages with scientific or policy content. It is more than twice the size of the activist cluster. These figures record how often hashtags were posted; they cannot show how far platform algorithms amplified them. Hashtags used at least 500 times; counts include co-occurring combinations.

Figure 5

Christian words, used mostly against climate activism

Most frequent Christian terms in climate posts, number of posts.

Ecclesiology · 4,152

Institutions and offices

Churchkerk2,592
Popepaus1,215
Christianity142
Altar102
Inquisition101
Scripture & Christology · 1,606

Texts and figures

Jesus437
Prophets300
Biblebijbel295
Gospel123
Cross118
Messiah117
Armageddon114
Paradise102
Sin, creation & moral order · 2,703

Moral theology

Sinzonde1,054
Holy452
Saint436
Creationschepping399
Dogma202
Stewardship160

Other traditions appear but remain marginal next to Christian vocabulary. A minority of posts use church, pope or creation to support climate care as care for creation. Far more use the same words to cast climate advocates as a church with its own dogma, clergy and sinners.

Show data table
ThemeTermPosts
EcclesiologyChurch2,592
EcclesiologyPope1,215
EcclesiologyChristianity142
EcclesiologyAltar102
EcclesiologyInquisition101
Scripture & ChristologyJesus437
Scripture & ChristologyProphets300
Scripture & ChristologyBible295
Scripture & ChristologyGospel123
Scripture & ChristologyCross118
Scripture & ChristologyMessiah117
Scripture & ChristologyArmageddon114
Scripture & ChristologyParadise102
Sin, creation & moral orderSin1,054
Sin, creation & moral orderHoly452
Sin, creation & moral orderSaint436
Sin, creation & moral orderCreation399
Sin, creation & moral orderDogma202
Sin, creation & moral orderStewardship160
Figure 6

An insult in one word

Religious compound words built on klimaat (climate), number of posts.

klimaatreligie · climate religionklimaatreligie (climate religion) · 2,893 posts · 52.2% of all religious compounds2,893klimaatpaus · climate popeklimaatpaus (climate pope) · 1,353 posts · 24.4% of all religious compounds1,353klimaatkerk · climate churchklimaatkerk (climate church) · 506 posts · 9.1% of all religious compounds506klimaatgoeroe · climate guruklimaatgoeroe (climate guru) · 221 posts · 4.0% of all religious compounds221klimaatgeloof · climate faithklimaatgeloof (climate faith) · 199 posts · 3.6% of all religious compounds199klimaatkult · climate cultklimaatkult (climate cult) · 110 posts · 2.0% of all religious compounds110klimaatprofeten · climate prophetsklimaatprofeten (climate prophets) · 77 posts · 1.4% of all religious compounds77klimaatevangelie · climate gospelklimaatevangelie (climate gospel) · 55 posts · 1.0% of all religious compounds55klimaatgelovige · climate believerklimaatgelovige (climate believer) · 45 posts · 0.8% of all religious compounds45klimaatheilige · climate saintklimaatheilige (climate saint) · 42 posts · 0.8% of all religious compounds42klimaatdogma · climate dogmaklimaatdogma (climate dogma) · 39 posts · 0.7% of all religious compounds39

Dutch joins nouns into new words. Of all klimaat- compounds, a distinct family recasts climate engagement as religion. They sit almost entirely in the negative-judgment cluster and compress an argument into a label: climate concern is faith, not evidence. The labels are also contested; one user replies that there is no “climate bible” or “climate religion”, only an abundance of scientific research.

Figure 7

The same words, pulled in opposite directions

Posts from the corpus, translated from Dutch and identified by anonymised IDs. Selected to show each pattern, not as a statistical sample.

Faith for climate
“The current climate crisis was caused by humans is recognised almost unanimously by science. This makes it certainly a matter for the church; people have been given responsibility to take good care of creation.”
TX-05725
Faith for climate
“The Pope embraces climate science and is done with deniers and minimizers.”
TX-07801
Secular creed · science
“If you believe you can fight climate warming without nature restoration, you have understood nothing of it. Follow the science or be silent on the subject.”
TX-00304
Secular creed · justice
“Climate justice means that the bill is not disproportionately placed with lower incomes and small businesses. Let the big polluters pay.”
TX-03656
Apocalypse · activist
“Thousands and thousands of scientists worldwide are warning humanity about the extinction of humanity in the future.”
TX-04411
Apocalypse · inverted
“They have been predicting the downfall of the earth from climate warming and CO2 since 1970.”
TX-00150
Anti-clerical framing
“One scientific truth (religion) by the only true scientists (priests) about climate change (flood). If you disagree, you are a science denier (heretic). You can also offset your CO2 footprint (indulgence).”
TX-09671
Anti-clerical framing
“The nickname ‘the European climate pope’ is actually perfect. Just as the pope’s truth concerns a strict belief in an unprovable claim, the existence of God vs. the idea that all climate change is caused by humans.”
TX-14766
Anti-clerical framing
“The climate church throws all acquired freedoms and social securities overboard for an unproven science.”
TX-10851
Figure 8

Two trajectories, one religious grammar

How the two sides of the debate draw on religious repertoires.

Commitment · implicit religion
  1. Binding commitmentsScience, justice and sustainability are treated as settled obligations; going against the science reads as moral failure.
  2. Integrating fociThese terms gather values and loyalties into one moral universe with climate action at its centre.
  3. Intensive concern, extensive effectsPersonal conviction reaches outward into rights claims, institutional mandates and group boundaries.
Delegitimisation · anti-clerical framing
  1. Clergy and scriptureScientists become priests, IPCC reports become a bible, carbon offsetting becomes an indulgence.
  2. Clerical titlesPoliticians are called “climate pope”; the movement becomes a climate church or cult.
  3. A double moveMany who use these labels also reject the scientific and political institutions whose rationality they claim to defend.

Neither side is formally religious. Both are structured by a religious grammar that remains culturally available in a society where institutional belief has declined.

Key findings
  1. Dutch climate discourse on X in 2023 is dominated by negative affect: 62.2% of posts are negative.
  2. Climate engagement is voiced through implicit religion: science, justice and sustainability function as binding moral commitments, and apocalyptic vocabulary adds a secular millenarian horizon.
  3. Christian vocabulary such as church, pope and sin circulates mainly in an oppositional register, recasting climate advocacy as doctrine.
  4. Compounds such as klimaatreligie (2,893 posts) and klimaatpaus (1,353) condense this anti-clerical logic into single words.
  5. The same vocabularies that bind activists together also expose them to reinterpretation, turning the debate into a contest between competing moral authorities.

Source Gürlesin, Ö. F. and De Groot, N. (forthcoming). The “Climate Religion” and Its Critics: Religious Rhetoric and Polarization in Dutch Digital Discourse. Peer-reviewed journal article; publication details will follow. Findings shown here are from the author version. Data: Religion and Climate Change in the Netherlands (2023): A Multi-Layer Twitter Discourse Dataset Collection, Zenodo.